Sports playing is often very profitable if an individual know the secrets and techniques this “smart money” bettors use to consistently make funds. One of the primary secrets that smart money bettors use is knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a excellent example of this. My spouse and i analyzed the particular Rest of the world Las vegas vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that West Las vegas had this edge in the video game. However , I also realized that there have been a whole lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not wager on this kind of game. Here is my own analysis I released just before the game:
West Florida or Louisville
This game has all the indicators of being one connected with the very best games associated with the year, with the two teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, each using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, with Rest of the world Virginia coming back from staying down big in the final fraction to winning around overtime.
So what’s the game search like this year?
When this activity were as played from a natural field, West Las vegas would certainly probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since the particular game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia will be on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost due to the fact March. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they shed to California Tech. Through the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 STREET games.
These types of are some very amazing stats that tilt the scales in favor associated with WVU intended for tonight’s gaming. Plus, the particular added in added bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem to be like much, but in a shut match-up similar to this, that extra point will certainly make the distinction between some sort of push plus a loss.
But some of us wonder what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s figures are almost as good like WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home games.
Together with if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in your own home since 12 , 18, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. four points for each game in the home, while averaging only giving up 15. 8 points every game on home. In UFABET168 decided not to do the mathmatical, that means considering that their very own last home loss they are yet to averaged beating their particular oppositions by about 34 factors per game.
In addition outstanding, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the range, on average, by 13 items per game at home since 2003.
Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?
Here’s just how…
Nearly all of those stats were being developed during the 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They have already acquired recent games that has they already have only scored 28, 23, 24 points. And the online games weren’t against Iowa St. or Michigan. That they were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.
Basically that will this is still the close activity to contact. Yet the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s no reason to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to middle 20’s. My honest recommendation is definitely to lay off that game and not necessarily bet at all. There happen to be better video games this weekend with more clear-cut positive aspects.
The final score on this game was Louisville forty-four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to come back a good punt for a TD. The results was that West Virginia’s edge has not been so big that they can could still win after doing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this kind of activity, people severe with regards to sports betting saved money they can put to better employ on coming games.